Julian, the 10th named tempest of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, was expected to weaken and dissipate, forecasters said.
Aug. 29, 2021, 1:14 p.m. ET
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Tropical Storm Julian formed successful the Atlantic connected Sunday, becoming the 10th named tempest of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, forecasters said.
The tempest emerged arsenic Louisiana braced for Hurricane Ida, which forecasters described arsenic an “extremely unsafe major” hurricane.
Ida, which made landfall connected the 16th day of Hurricane Katrina, battered the Louisiana seashore with sustained upwind speeds of 150 miles per hour, the National Hurricane Center said.
Unlike Ida, however, Tropical Storm Julian was expected to weaken arsenic aboriginal arsenic Monday and go post-tropical by Monday evening, the hurricane halfway said. Julian was 865 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, and was moving toward the northeast.
The tempest was expected to accelerate toward the northeast earlier moving northbound implicit the North Atlantic done Tuesday, the halfway said.
Forecasters said upwind information derived from satellites indicated that Julian’s maximum sustained winds had accrued to adjacent 50 m.p.h., with higher gusts. The tempest was expected to fortify connected Sunday earlier weakening, the halfway said.
It’s been a dizzying fewer weeks for meteorologists who monitored respective named storms that formed successful speedy succession successful the Atlantic, bringing stormy weather, flooding and damaging winds to antithetic parts of the United States and the Caribbean.
Tropical Storm Fred made landfall connected Aug. 16 successful the Florida Panhandle. As Fred moved crossed the southeast, it brought dense rains and touched disconnected respective tornadoes. At slightest five radical were killed aft flash floods wiped retired homes successful Western North Carolina successful the aftermath of the storm.
Grace formed successful the eastbound Caribbean connected Aug. 14, the aforesaid time a 7.2-magnitude earthquake rocked Haiti’s occidental peninsula. The tempest quickly moved west arsenic the state struggled to escaped radical trapped successful rubble, dumping astatine slightest 10 inches of rain. Grace past made different landfall connected the Yucatán Peninsula successful Mexico, bringing much dense rain, powerfulness failures and hundreds of evacuations.
Another landfall, connected the eastbound seashore of Mexico’s mainland, left astatine slightest 8 radical dead.
And Henri formed connected Aug. 16 arsenic a tropical tempest disconnected the East Coast of the United States. It strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane but was downgraded earlier making landfall successful Rhode Island, sparing the portion the worst of what had been predicted. It thrashed the Northeast with fierce winds and torrential rain, knocking retired powerfulness to much than 140,000 households from New Jersey to Maine.
Ana became the archetypal named tempest of the play connected May 23, making this the seventh twelvemonth successful a enactment that a named tempest developed successful the Atlantic earlier the authoritative commencement of the play connected June 1.
The links betwixt hurricanes and clime alteration are becoming much apparent. A warming satellite could expect to person stronger hurricanes implicit time, and a higher incidence of the astir almighty storms — though the wide fig of storms could drop, due to the fact that factors similar stronger upwind shear could support weaker storms from forming.
Hurricanes are besides becoming wetter due to the fact that of much h2o vapor successful the warmer atmosphere; scientists person suggested storms similar Hurricane Harvey successful 2017 produced acold much rainfall than they would person without the quality effects connected climate. Also, rising oversea levels are contributing to higher tempest surge — the astir destructive constituent of tropical cyclones.
In May, scientists with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecast that determination would beryllium 13 to 20 named storms this year, six to 10 of which would beryllium hurricanes, and 3 to 5 large hurricanes of Category 3 oregon higher successful the Atlantic. In aboriginal August, successful a midseason update to the forecast, they continued to pass that this year’s hurricane play would beryllium an supra mean one, suggesting a engaged extremity to the season.
Matthew Rosencrans, of the NOAA, said that an updated forecast suggested that determination would beryllium 15 to 21 named storms, including 7 to 10 hurricanes, by the extremity of the play connected Nov. 30. Julian is the 10th named tempest of 2021.
Last year, determination were 30 named storms, including six large hurricanes, forcing meteorologists to exhaust the alphabet for the 2nd clip and determination to utilizing Greek letters.
It was the highest fig of storms connected record, surpassing the 28 from 2005, and included the second-highest fig of hurricanes reported successful history.